volume 44 issue 4 (december 2010) : 235 - 241
AGRICULTURAL LAND EXPANSION IN PAKISTAN: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
1Department of Economics,
The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan.
ABSTRACT
The paper examines the long-run determinants of agricultural land expansion by JJ cointegration
technique. The results of cointegration indicates that there exists a long-run relationship between
agriculture land expansion and the factors like agricultural prices, agricultural income, live stock
population, human population, agricultural technology, fertilizer use, irrigation and rainfall. The
normalized cointegrating vector shows that the agricultural prices, fertilizer use, irrigation and
technology positively affect agricultural land expansion, while, human population, agricultural income
and rainfall negatively influence agricultural land expansion. It is also found that livestock population
has insignificant impact on the agricultural land expansion. The study proposed to agriculture policy
makers to increase the use of technology and irrigational infrastructure along with adjusted agricultural
prices to expand the agricultural land for agricultural growth.
technique. The results of cointegration indicates that there exists a long-run relationship between
agriculture land expansion and the factors like agricultural prices, agricultural income, live stock
population, human population, agricultural technology, fertilizer use, irrigation and rainfall. The
normalized cointegrating vector shows that the agricultural prices, fertilizer use, irrigation and
technology positively affect agricultural land expansion, while, human population, agricultural income
and rainfall negatively influence agricultural land expansion. It is also found that livestock population
has insignificant impact on the agricultural land expansion. The study proposed to agriculture policy
makers to increase the use of technology and irrigational infrastructure along with adjusted agricultural
prices to expand the agricultural land for agricultural growth.
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Indian Journal of Agricultural Research
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