There were no records on the occurrence of bovine brucellosis in the Vhembe district during the study period while Mopani district had no records during the year 2013 (Table 1). There were significant differences (p<0.05) in the occurrence of bovine brucellosis cases across the districts during the year 2013, while the differences between the districts from 2014 to 2018 were non-significant (p>0.05). The results also revealed positive non-significant temperature trends in Capricorn and Mopani districts (p>0.05) (Table 2). However, there were no observable temperature trends in Sekhukhune and Waterberg districts (p= 1.000). There were no observable rainfall trends in Capricorn district (p= 1.000) while the other districts experienced positive non-significant rainfall trends during the study period (p>0.05).
Multiple linear regression analysis indicated non-significant effects of temperature variability on bovine brucellosis cases with R
2= 0.09, 0.93, 0.34 and 0.13 in Capricorn, Sekhukhune and Waterberg districts, respectively (p>0.05) (Table 3). The analysis indicated a non-significant effect (p>0.05) of rainfall on bovine brucellosis cases with R
2= 0.85, 0.91, 0.26 and 0.47 in Capricorn, Mopani, Sekhukhune and Waterberg districts, respectively (Table 7). The results of Pearson’s correlation analysis for the relationship between the occurrence of bovine brucellosis and temperature variabilities revealed that there were non-significant correlations (p>0.05) in Mopani and Sekhukhune districts (Tables 5 and 6). In Capricorn district, the results depicted a no correlation (p =0.000) between bovine brucellosis cases and temperature (Table 4). The Pearson’s correlation analysis for the relationship between the occurrence of bovine brucellosis and rainfall variabilities revealed that Sekhukhune district was the only district which had a non-significant correlation (p>0.05) (Table 6). The results revealed that Waterberg district had a significant correlation (p<0.05), while both Capricorn and Mopani districts had significant positive correlations (p<0.05) (Tables 4 and 5). The study investigated the potential contribution of management related risk factors to the occurrence of bovine brucellosis in the study area (Table 8). Majority of the farmers had knowledge of bovine brucellosis while 83% of the farmers indicated that they had experienced cases of abortions in their herds. Majority of the farmers were not disinfecting the abortion sites or screening new or arriving animals.
The results of this study indicated that the overall occurrence of bovine brucellosis was 3.96%. This finding suggests that bovine brucellosis was not prevalent in most cattle herds in the study area during the study period.
Awah-Ndukum et al., (2018) reported an occurrence of 5.4% and attained this result through the use of Rose Bengal Plate Test (RBPT) and indirect Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay (i-ELISA) serological tests. The differences between the findings of the two studies might have been brought about by the different diagnostic tests used. i-ELISA is usually considered to have a higher sensitivity and specificity in determining brucella specific antibodies than other serological tests
(Varshochi et al., 2011). Ayoola et al., (2017) and
Mfune et al., (2021) reported higher occurrences of 7.8% and 7.5% for studies that were carried out in Nigeria and Zambia, respectively. These authors attributed high occurrences of bovine brucellosis to factors such as limited restrictions on the trans-border movement of cattle which may result in infected cattle being sold in markets (
Ogundipe, 2002). The findings of this study may be attributed to the fact that majority of the farmers who contributed data owned small-holder farming systems with reduced inter-herd interactions and that can partly explain a lower occurrence rate reported in this study.
There was an overall increase in annual temperature trends throughout the study period in four districts of Limpopo Province.
Chikosi et al., (2019) and
Shikwambana et al., (2021) reported that temperatures were gradually increasing while rainfall was decreasing in the Limpopo Province in line with changes in the climatic factors reported across the sub-Saharan African region. The province experienced an overall decrease in rainfall trends during the study period although some of the districts experienced increased rainfall in line with the observations by
Adeola et al., (2019) who reported that some areas of Limpopo Province experienced increased rainfall during the period 1999 to 2017.
Multiple linear regression analysis revealed non-significant correlations between bovine brucellosis cases and the variabilities of temperature and rainfall in Limpopo Province during the study period. Pearson’s correlation analysis also showed that there were no significant correlations between the occurrence of bovine brucellosis and the variabilities of temperature and rainfall in Limpopo Province during the study period. The findings of this study are in alignment with the hypothesis and the findings of
Arif et al., (2019) who reported that bovine brucellosis is more prevalent in cooler areas than areas with high temperatures.
The results of the field survey showed that majority of the respondents had knowledge of bovine brucellosis and experienced clinical signs related to bovine brucellosis such as abortions in their herds, however, most of the respondents were not disinfecting abortion sites. The results also showed that 50% of the respondents regularly vaccinated their animals against bovine brucellosis and other diseases. These findings align with those of
Segwagwe et al., (2018) who reported that majority of cattle farmers do not remove sick animals from the herd, fail to screen new animals or disinfect abortion sites.
Frean et al., (2018) reported that South African farms are at high risk of experiencing bovine brucellosis in their cattle herds because of poor surveillance and vaccination campaigns.