Agro-climatic conditions of USeP mabini unit
The summary of USeP agro-climatic conditions from January to June 2025 is presented in Table 1. The USeP Mabini site reflected a typical tropical lowland climate, generally dry with irregular but intense rainfall events. Most days had little to no rainfall (0-10 mm), though sudden heavy downpours occurred on January 5 (80.1 mm), January 26 (50.4 mm), February 20 (49.8 mm), April 20 (138 mm) and May 12 (144.6 mm). While the season was largely dry, these sporadic rains could disrupt field operations and affect crop water management.
Relative humidity (RH) was high in the mornings (86-98%) but dropped substantially in the afternoons, sometimes reaching as low as 25% during dry days. This fluctuation suggests mornings favored foliar disease development, while afternoons allowed drying, reducing prolonged leaf wetness. Wind speed was mostly calm to moderate, ranging from 0-5 m/s with occasional peaks of 6-7 m/s. These conditions influenced evapotranspiration, pest activity and potential crop lodging.
Temperature patterns showed afternoon readings of 25-34°C, within the optimal range for heirloom rice growth. Significant rainfall lowered temperatures below 28°C, as observed on April 20 and May 12. The alternating warm and cooling effects created a balance favorable to rice development.
Overall, the six-month agro-climatic profile of USeP Mabini indicated that heirloom rice cultivation is feasible. The combination of intermittent rainfall, high but variable humidity, moderate winds and suitable temperatures provide conditions supportive of crop growth, though sudden downpours require careful management for water and disease control.
Agronomic characteristics
Growth performance
The Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) revealed significant differences in the growth performance of heirloom rice genotypes under USeP Mabini agro-climatic conditions (Table 2). At 30 days after sowing (DAS), Dampuan exhibited superior early vigor with the tallest seedlings (82.04 cm), significantly higher than Black Rice, which recorded the shortest (65.26 cm). Thailand, Romelietes and Dinurado produced intermediate heights (71.28-72.44 cm) without notable differences. At 70 DAS, Thailand attained the tallest mature plants (146.14 cm), though not significantly different from Dampuan (142.01 cm), Romelietes (137.36 cm) and Dinurado (134.78 cm). Black Rice consistently remained the shortest genotype throughout the growth stages.
Germination also varied significantly. Dinurado germinated last at 16.50 days, while Thailand germinated earliest at 6.75 days, reflecting differences in dormancy and adaptation. Morphological examination revealed that Dinurado seeds had a thick, hard palea, likely contributing to delayed emergence compared with the thinner-coated seeds of other genotypes.
Tillering capacity showed no significant variation in total tillers, with values ranging from 20.82 to 22.68 per plant. However, productive tiller counts differed: Black Rice produced the highest number (19.58), indicating superior grain-bearing efficiency, while Dampuan recorded the lowest (17.21), suggesting greater allocation toward vegetative growth than reproduction.
Flowering and maturity patterns also differed significantly. Dampuan flowered earliest (89.75 days), while Dinurado was latest (116.25 days). Black Rice, Thailand and Romelietes flowered at intermediate times (96.25, 102.75 and 105.75 days, respectively). Maturity followed similar trends: Dampuan matured earliest at 121.25 days and was harvested at 138.25 days, while Dinurado matured last at 141.75 days and was harvested at 147.50 days. The other genotypes exhibited intermediate durations, indicating balanced life cycles.
These findings highlight distinct growth strategies among heirloom rice genotypes, suggesting their differential suitability under specific agro-climatic conditions. The observed variations emphasize that productivity is strongly influenced by environmental interaction, underscoring the importance of matching genotype to location for efficient production. Such adaptability ensures that heirloom rice can be sustainably cultivated while maintaining high-quality yields
(Najeeb et al., 2018).
Yield and yield components
A perusal of ANOVA revealed highly significant differences among genotypes for number of grains per panicle (NGP), percentage of filled grains per panicle (PGPP) and yield per hectare (YTpH) (p<0.01), while 1,000-seed weight showed no statistical difference (p = 0.5172) (Table 2).
Dampuan produced the highest NGP (539.01), followed by Thailand (475.82) and Romelietes (445.91), which were significantly greater than Dinurado (423.15) and Black Rice (326.43). This indicates Dampuan’s superior panicle capacity, a valuable trait for breeding programs targeting grain number. For PGPP, Romelietes (68.99%) and Thailand (63.36%) outperformed other genotypes, reflecting superior grain filling efficiency. In contrast, Dinurado (44.42%) and Dampuan (46.99%) recorded low percentages despite their higher NGP, suggesting limitations in pollination or grain development under the prevailing conditions.
Seed size, expressed as 1,000-seed weight, did not differ significantly among genotypes, ranging from 21.50 g (Romelietes) to 23.50 g (Black Rice). This stability implies that seed weight is less influenced by genotype compared to other yield components under USeP Mabini conditions. On the other hand, grain yield varied significantly. Romelietes (3.56 t/ha) and Thailand (3.49 t/ha) achieved the highest yields, both statistically superior to other genotypes. Black Rice, Dampuan and Dinurado yielded lower, from 2.32 to 1.63 t/ha. Despite Dampuan’s high grain number, its poor grain filling limited final yield. Similarly, Dinurado, with moderate NGP, was constrained by low grain filling and reduced productivity. Notably, Romelietes and Thailand yields exceeded the Northern Philippines’ average upland rice yield of 2.54 t/ha reported by
Acierto et al., (2020).
Overall, the results highlighted that yield and yield components of heirloom rice are strongly influenced by environmental factors. Ensuring genotype adaptability to specific agro-climatic conditions is therefore critical for achieving stable, high-quality and efficient production
(Najeeb et al., 2018).
Response to major insect pests and diseases
The response of heirloom rice genotypes to major insect pests was evaluated based on severity infestation ratings for stem borer (SBSI), rice bug (RBSI), black bug (BBSI) and planthopper (PHSI) at 30 and 70 days after sowing (DAS). ANOVA revealed significant differences (p<0.01) among genotypes for stem borer infestation at both stages and for rice bug infestation at 70 DAS, indicating variability in pest susceptibility (Table 3).
At 30 DAS, all genotypes except Dinurado showed slight stem borer damage (21-40%). Dinurado, however, recorded a significantly higher infestation (69.00%), classified as severe. By 70 DAS, Black Rice, Romelietes, Dampuan and Dinurado exhibited infestation levels of 57.00-63.00%, all within the extensively to severely damaged range (41-80%). Thailand recorded the lowest severity (33.00%), reflecting relatively higher resistance.
For RBSI, all genotypes showed no damage at 30 DAS, but severity increased by 70 DAS. Dampuan (79.00%) and Black Rice (77.00%) were severely damaged, while Romelietes (64.50%) and Dinurado (66.00%) were extensively damaged. Thailand recorded the lowest severity (62.00%), though still within the extensively damaged category. Significant differences (p = 0.0205) highlight variation in tolerance across genotypes during later stages.
No infestation from black bug and planthopper was observed at either stage, suggesting minimal field presence or high tolerance of the evaluated genotypes. Overall, Dinurado and Black Rice were the most susceptible, particularly to stem borer and rice bug, whereas Thailand consistently showed lower pest severity. Romelietes and Dampuan, despite high yield potential, displayed moderate susceptibility to rice bug at maturity.
Disease response was assessed for false smut (FSSI) and rice blast (RBlastSI) (Table 3). At 30 DAS, no significant variation in FSSI was recorded (p = 0.4449), with all genotypes showing uniform 20.00% severity, classified as no damage. This suggests early-stage resistance or low infection pressure during vegetative growth. By 70 DAS, however, significant differences (p = 0.0013) were observed. Dinurado (32.00%) and Dampuan (30.50%) recorded the highest severity, classified as slight damage. Romelietes (21.00%) and Thailand (22.50%) remained close to the no-damage threshold, indicating better tolerance. Black Rice showed an intermediate response (27.50%), with no statistical difference from either extreme.
No symptoms of rice blast were observed across genotypes at both growth stages, indicating uniform resistance or absence of conducive environmental conditions. This suggests that under the USeP Mabini agro-climatic conditions, the evaluated genotypes exhibit broad tolerance to blast.
Taken together, false smut emerged as the more critical disease concern in the dry season. While absent at early growth, differences at 70 DAS identified Dinurado and Dampuan as more susceptible, whereas Romelietes and Thailand showed better resistance. False smut is recognized as an emerging global rice disease, with significant outbreaks reported in the Philippines and Asia (
Adhikari, 2024;
Gbadenya, 2024). Integrating resistance to this disease into heirloom rice breeding programs is therefore crucial.
Overall, heirloom rice responses to insect pests and diseases were strongly influenced by environmental conditions, underscoring the importance of adaptability trials to ensure high-quality and efficient production
(Najeeb et al., 2018).
Economic viability
The data in Table 4 highlighted the economic performance of heirloom rice genotypes under USeP Mabini conditions. Among the five varieties, Thailand proved the most profitable, with a Potential Gross Income (PGI) of PHP 80,416.28, Net Profit (NP) of PHP 31,976.28 and a Return on Investment (ROI) of 66.01%. This strong financial return identifies Thailand as the most viable option for farmers seeking profitability in aerobic rice systems.
Romelietes also showed favorable results, recording a PGI of PHP 64,820.44, NP of PHP 16,380.44 and ROI of 33.81%. Although lower than Thailand, it still provides substantial returns, making it another suitable choice. In contrast, Black Rice and Dampuan achieved only marginal profitability, with ROIs of 10.36% and 4.45%, respectively. Black Rice’s NP reached PHP 5,020.05, while Dampuan earned just PHP 2,157.93, suggesting that large-scale adoption would require either cost reduction or price incentives to improve competitiveness.
Dinurado performed the poorest, incurring a negative NP of PHP -10,873.41 and an ROI of -22.44%, meaning production costs outweighed income. This makes Dinurado economically unsuitable under the current conditions.
Thailand and Romelietes present the best prospects for profitable heirloom rice production, while the other varieties require further support through breeding or input optimization.
Genetic diversity analysis
The dendrogram revealed two major diversity clusters among the heirloom rice genotypes (Fig 1). The closest cluster grouped Thailand and Romelietes, reflecting strong morphological and agronomic similarity. Both displayed moderately high plant height, similar growth duration, high yields (3.49 and 3.56 t/ha) and comparable resistance to stem borer and rice bug, suggesting shared ancestry or genetic makeup. Dampuan clustered next with this group, showing moderate similarity. While it had similar plant stature and tiller number, Dampuan differed in flowering time, produced the highest grains per panicle and had slightly lower yield, indicating potential value for complementing traits in breeding.
In contrast, Black Rice and Dinurado appeared as the most divergent. Black Rice was separated due to lower yield, smaller plant height and higher pest susceptibility, particularly to the stem borer. Dinurado was the most distantly clustered, with longer germination and flowering, the highest productive tillers, but the lowest yield, highlighting its uniqueness.
The cluster analysis confirmed significant genetic diversity based on phenology, yield and pest resistance. These differences support strategic parent selection, where crosses between genetically distant lines such as Dinurado × Thailand or Black Rice × Romelietes could maximize heterosis. This finding concurs with
Rauf et al., (2010), emphasizing the importance of conserving and improving heirloom rice germplasm.
Correlation analysis of agronomic traits to yield
The correlation analysis of agronomic traits with yield is presented in Table 5. Results revealed that among the evaluated traits, the percentage of filled grains per panicle exhibited a very strong positive correlation with yield (r = 0.98). This finding clearly indicates that the percent filled grains is the most critical determinant of yield performance among the studied traits. Genotypes with a higher proportion of well-filled grains consistently produced greater yields, highlighting the importance of reproductive efficiency in rice productivity. This observation is consistent with the reports of
Salunkhe et al., (2024), who also identified a positive direct effect of filled grains on yield per plant. On the other hand, the study of
Sujata et al. (2021) that grain yield had a significant and positive association with the total number of tillers per plant, number of productive tillers per plant, test weight, panicle length and panicle fertility. These results underscore the need to prioritize this trait in both breeding programs and crop management strategies to maximize yield potential.
Plant height at 70 DAS showed a moderate positive correlation with yield (r = 0.49), suggesting that taller plants may contribute indirectly to yield through improved biomass accumulation or enhanced panicle support. Although not a strong predictor alone, moderate plant height may complement other yield-related traits, especially when combined with reproductive efficiency. Similarly, the number of grains per panicle showed a weak positive correlation with yield (r = 0.17). While traditionally considered a yield component, its limited influence here suggests that grain number may not be a major constraint under the given conditions. These results align with findings by
Salunkhe et al. (2024), who noted that plant height and panicle number positively contribute to grain yield.
Negative correlations were observed for several traits, implying reduced productivity when these traits increased. Days to germination (r = -0.63) and number of tillers (r = -0.62) were both strongly negatively correlated with yield. Similar results were reported by
Xie et al., (2024), who showed that tiller regeneration rate negatively affected yield and
Fuxian et al., (1997), who noted that sink size of the main crop inversely influenced ratoon rice tillering. These findings suggest that delayed emergence and excessive tillering may reduce resource use efficiency, crop uniformity and panicle development under aerobic conditions.
Additionally, 1000-seed weight displayed a moderate negative correlation with yield (r = -0.53), indicating a possible trade-off between grain weight and number due to assimilate partitioning. Productive tillers also showed a weak negative correlation (r = -0.37), suggesting that not all tillers effectively contribute to yield. Other traits, including plant height at 30 DAS, days to flowering and maturity, had negligible correlations (-0.13 to +0.03), confirming their limited direct influence. Overall, percent filled grains, plant height and grains per panicle remain the most crucial yield-associated traits.
Regression analysis of yield-determining traits
To determine which agronomic traits most significantly influence grain yield in heirloom rice genotypes, a multiple linear regression analysis was conducted using three predictor variables identified from prior correlation analysis: percent filled grains per panicle, plant height at 70 DAS and number of grains per panicle (Table 6). These traits were chosen for their agronomic relevance and observed positive correlations with yield, confirming earlier findings of
Salunkhe et al., (2024).
Among the predictors, percent filled grains per panicle had the largest and most positive coefficient (β = 0.0710), indicating that each one-percentage-point increase in grain filling corresponded to an estimated 0.071 t/ha increase in yield, holding other factors constant. This highlights grain filling as the strongest determinant of yield, reflecting efficient pollination, nutrient availability and successful reproductive development. These results align with
Sahu et al., (2021), who emphasized the role of grain filling in relation to inter-spikelet distance, particularly noting poor filling in compact panicles with numerous spikelets.
Plant height at 70 DAS exhibited a moderate positive effect (β = 0.0410), though not statistically significant. This suggests taller plants may slightly enhance biomass and light interception, but are secondary contributors compared to grain filling efficiency. Surprisingly, the number of grains per panicle showed a negative but non-significant coefficient (β = -0.0011), possibly due to collinearity with filled grain percentage or trade-offs between grain number and filling efficiency under resource-limited aerobic conditions.
Improving grain filling percentage presents the greatest potential for yield enhancement in heirloom rice cultivated under aerobic conditions in Mabini, while plant height and grain number play supportive but less decisive roles.