Farmer characteristics and farming factors of orchard fruits
All of the Chi-square tests in Table 1 were statistically significant. Men led the majority of households (HH) in fruit-growing areas. Male-headed households have the advantage of being able to communicate and learn farming techniques from other experienced farmers. The average age of HH was relatively high at 51.7 years old, possibly due to the long-term residence of these households in the area. Most HH had 6-9 years of schooling (47.3%), equivalent to a secondary school education. This level of education can be sufficient for farmers to absorb information related to their farming processes. According to the study results, the average number of family members per household was 3-4 persons (51.3%), consistent with the national census data. The farmers had 6-10 years of farming experience (43.3%), which was strongly correlated (r=0.46**) with the age of the trees (Table 2). It suggests that the longer a tree has been planted, the more farming experience the farmer has gained.
All of the Chi-square tests in Table 2 were statistically significant. Most orchard areas were between 0.2 and 0.5 hectares, accounting for 48.0%. It is significantly lower than the average land area per household in the entire country, which is 0.66 hectares and in the Mekong River Delta, which is 0.8 hectares (
Chung and Ha, 2017). The small land size was dispersed among individual households, making it difficult for farmers to produce enough fruit for export requirements.
The average age of the trees in the orchard was between 4 and 10 years, accounting for 74% of the total (Table 2). It suggests that the orchard has not been in cultivation for a long time. It could be attributed to farmers changing their crop structure in response to fluctuations in market prices and consumer demand. Additionally, replanting of trees damaged by insects, diseases and flooding in the lowlands of the Mekong Delta may have contributed to the relatively young age of the trees. There was a positive correlation between tree age and income (r=0.2*), indicating that the more mature the orchard fruits are, the more profitable they will be. The average amount of nitrogen fertilizer applied to the orchard was 281 kg/ha, which was within the recommended range (Table 2), according to
Ve and Phong (2011).
According to Table 2, an average of 4.7 persons per hectare was required for management labor. However, with an average household size of 4 (Table 1), it was evident that the household’s labor may not be enough to manage 1 hectare of orchard, leading to the need for hired labor. Furthermore, the small amount of orchard land farmers own (Table 2) indicated that there had not been a significant accumulation of land for fruit farming in Hau Giang. In comparison to the labor required for rice cultivation (106 days per hectare for three rice crops) (
Phuong and Xe, 2011), the labor day used for orchard fruit farming (54.8 days per hectare per year) (83.3%) was lower due to the infrequent care needed for orchard fruits throughout the year.
The results of the statistical analysis showed that the yield of Sanh orange (17,555 tons/ha) and Sugar mandarin (14,324 tons/ha) were the highest among the five fruit varieties (Fig 1). This difference was found to be statistically significant (P<0.05) when compared to the yields of Cat Hoa Loc mango (8,803 tons/ha), Xoan orange (8,200 tons/ha) and green peel pomelo (7,390 tons/ha). The average fruit yield of the five varieties was 11.3 tons/ha, which differed from the Hau Giang province survey data (13 tons/ha) (
KV, 2019). This difference could be attributed to the fact that this study only investigated five fruit varieties.
Economic efficiency of orchard fruit farming
The results of the ANOVA analysis indicated that there was a significant difference in the selling price (in VND) among different fruit varieties (p<0.05). Specifically, the selling price of Cat Hoa Loc mangoes (38,317 VND/kg) and green peel pomelo (36,000VND/kg) was found to be higher compared to Xoan orange (23,333VND/kg), sugar mandarin (17,950VND/kg) and Sanh orange (11,283VND/kg). It is worth noting that Hau Giang fruit products are primarily consumed domestically and the selling price is a significant concern for farmers due to its instability. During the primary harvest season, the selling price decreases when products are abundant. Farmers may try controlling flowering to produce off-season fruits to obtain higher prices. This highlights the need for the involvement of enterprises in fruit storage, processing and export to minimize fluctuations in product sales.
The results of the ANOVA in Fig 2 showed statistically significant differences in revenue, variable cost and income among different fruit varieties (p<0.05). The variable cost for Sanh oranges was significantly higher (96.5 million VND/ha) than other fruit varieties, while Xoan oranges had a relatively low variable cost (57.3 million VND/ha). The average revenue for green peel pomelos (253.8 million VND/ha), sugar mandarins (258.5 million VND/ha) and Cat Hoa Loc mangoes (335.7 million VND/ha) were significantly different (p<0.05) from Xoan (185 million VND/ha) and Sanh (205.1 million VND/ha) oranges. These results suggested a strong positive correlation between fruit yield (r=0.655**, p=0.01) and product selling price (r=0.229**, p=0.01) with revenue, indicating that higher fruit yield and selling price can positively impact revenue. Due to its high selling price, revenue and relatively low variable cost, Cat Hoa Loc mango had the highest income value (269 million VND/ha), significantly different from other varieties. Citrus trees are commonly grown in Hau Giang province (
Tam, 2020). Still, there is a problem of product stagnation during the primary harvest season, making it difficult to sell in the market and resulting in lower revenue. Additionally, root rot disease often affects citrus trees
(Jaouad et al., 2020), leading to increased costs for disease treatment and care, especially during the flooding season. Overall, the income from the five fruit varieties was relatively high compared to rice farming (40 million VND/ha) (
Phuc and Phong, 2022). Hau Giang Province has no coordination between farmers and other sectors in the production-consumption chain. It has led to low production of fruit products that meet quality standards, making it difficult for them to be exported and significantly impacting the profits of local farmers.
Regression analysis
The regression model for revenue, which was predicted by several farming parameters and farmer characteristics, is shown in Table 3. With an R
2 value of 0.768, the results showed that the independent variables can account for 76.8% of the variation in income, which was statistically significant (p<0.001). An excellent match for the model was indicated by the F count 37.9, which was also significant at p<0.05. The t-test revealed that the regression coefficients for four indicators-management labor, farming experience, fruit yield and selling price-are significantly different from zero, confirming the validity of the regression model. All tolerance and Variance Inflation Factors (VIF) values, which measure the collinearity, are less than 1 and 10, respectively, indicating no collinearity between the independent variables (
Mallery and Paul, 2016). Therefore, the regression equation can be established as follows:
Y = - 158.049 - 16.612X1 + 2.546X2 + 17.307X3 + 0.010X4.
Where,
Y : Income.
X
1: Management labor.
X
2: Farming experience.
X
3: Fruit yield.
X
4: Selling price.
Management labor had a significant negative impact on income, with a p-value of less than 0.001. The regression coefficient of -16.612 indicates that increasing the labor involved in managing the orchard (
i.e., labor cost) can lead to decreased income. On the other hand, farming experience positively influences income, with a significance level of p<0.05 and a regression coefficient of 2.546. It suggests that the more experience a farmer has, the higher their income potential. This is likely because long farming experience allows farmers to accumulate knowledge, make informed decisions and mitigate risks in farming.
The farming experience was a significant factor in the soybean farming model and the cultivation of other crops in Nigeria
(Mustapha et al., 2012; Osuji et al., 2013). The study also showed that fruit yield significantly impacts income, with a significant level of p<0.001 and a positive regression coefficient of 17.307, indicating that higher fruit yield could lead to increased income. Additionally, the selling price was found to have a significant effect on income, with a significance level of p<0.001 and a positive regression coefficient of 0.010, indicating that a higher selling price could result in more significant income. The standardized coefficients, which indicated the relative influence of each factor, showed that fruit yield had the most significant impact on income (0.899), followed by selling price (0.782), farming experience (0.108) and management labor (-0.222). Overall, it can be stated that to achieve a high income from orchard fruit farming and one must focus on increasing farming experience and fruit yield, obtaining a reasonable price for products in the consumer market and reducing management labor.
Farmer evaluation and desire to change fruit tree varieties
The findings of the Chi-square test indicated that there was a statistically significant correlation between the views of farmers about local government issues, production capital, product consumption and selling prices (Table 4). The findings revealed that the average selling price of the product (56.7%) and the unstable consumption of products (70.7%) indicated that the domestic fruit consumption market had not supported orchard fruit farming. It highlights the need for enterprises and relevant state management agencies to focus on exporting fruits. On the other hand, fruit farmers have earned higher incomes than those who grow rice and other upland crops, allowing them to accumulate good capital (70.7%) for investing in fruit farming. Additionally, farmers highly appreciated the support provided by agricultural extensions, such as training on variety selection, cultivation techniques and pest control (36.7-39.3%). This support has enabled them to take a more proactive approach to managing their orchards. In Hau Giang province, many farmers have converted their rice fields into orchards for higher income. As a result, local authorities (38.0-38.7%) had taken an interest in utilizing these lands owned by farmers.
The results of the Chi-square test (Table 5) indicated that there was a statistically significant desire among farmers to change their orchard fruit varieties (χ
2 = 227.81, df = 16, p<0.001). The Cramer’s V value of 0.616 (p<0.001) suggested this desire was quite strong, with 61.6% of farmers wanting to change. The information in Table 5 and Fig 3, which demonstrated that farmers tried to replace their durian orchards with other kinds, further supports it. Market demand and consumption requirements often influence the decision to plant certain orchard fruit varieties. For example, China imports a significant amount of durian from Southeast Asian countries
(Hogg et al., 2015), making it a potential partner for exporting durian from countries like Vietnam. As a result, many farmers choose to grow durian trees to increase their income. The unstable domestic fruit market (Table 4) is also a factor driving farmers to seek more stable consumption markets for their orchard fruits.