The pedigree file had 7069 animals of which mortality records were available for 6935 LWY piglets. The descriptives including frequency and proportion for PWM is presented in Table 1. The mortality per cent in the population studied was 4.0 per cent. The least squares means for PWM and effect of various non-genetic factors on the trait are listed in Table 2. The overall PWM was 4.80 per cent.
The overall least squares mean PWM observed in this study was low (4.80 %) compared to other studies [
Singh et al., 1990 (25.71%);
Gopinathan, 2001 (26.63%);
Gupta et al., 2001; Nuntapaitoon and Tummarak, 2015 (14.5%)]. This value of 4.80 per cent was low even when compared to mortality of LWY pigs in Netherlands, where the conditions are similar to the place of origin of LWY (
Knol et al., 2002). Very low PWM for LWY in the region is indicative of better adaptability to the region.
Period, season, sex, parityand level of inbreeding was found to affect PWM.The PWM was higher in piglets born during south-west monsoon. Increase in bacterial load during rainy season, overlay of piglets during rainy days and higher humidity could be the possible reasons for this observation. The mortality gradually reduced up to third parity after which it increased.
Significant effect of level of inbreeding on PWM was observed in the present study. The fourth class with 6.126to 12.5 per cent F was found to have maximum PWM, which was significantly different from other classes
(Gowrimanokari et al., 2019). Rothschild(1996) reported that about 10% of inbreeding in both litter and dam accounted for reductions in embryo survival and number born alive.
The estimates of variance components and heritability estimated using linear models are presented in Table 3. The best fit noticed was for Model 4 which included direct genetic and common litter effect and the estimate of heritability from this model was very low (0.02).
The results of threshold model with direct additive and common litter as effect is presented in Table 4.The time series trace of direct genetic and common litter components of variance are presented in Fig 1, which showed straightening of the chain, indicative of convergence.The MCMC parameters
viz., Monte Carlo error and Geweke’s statistic also were low and indicated good convergence. The estimate of heritability for PWM obtained through threshold model, including common liter effect was much higher (0.15), almost seven times that of the linear model.
Several studies have proven that ignoring maternal effects can lead to biased estimates (
Satoh et al., 2002;
Chimonyo et al., 2006;
Ilatsia et al., 2008;
Akanno et al., 2013). Litter-bearing species usually have a large number of non-additive relationships (Norris
et al., 2007) and common litter effects should be accounted for in the model for analysis of traits (
Satoh et al., 2002;
Chimonyo et al., 2006;
Chimonyo and Dzama, 2007;
Ilatsiaet al., 2008;
Akanno et al., 2013). In the present study, maternal genetic, maternal permanent environmental and common litter effects were included in addition to the individual animal as random effect. Model 4 with direct additive and commonlitter effect was found to be the best model in the linear mixed model analysis. However, convergence could not be reached for the more complex models (7 and 8).
Knol et al., 2002 also encountered problems of non-convergence with linear estimation for complex models. The threshold models had the advantage that estimates could be obtained irrespective of the complexity of models. Though convergence was obtained for complex models (7 and 8), the DIC values were larger.The same factors as in model 4 were used for the threshold models.
Comparison of estimates of heritability for traits like PWM is complex; as the model used, method of estimation and type of random effects included will influence the magnitude of estimates (
Arango et al., 2006;
Dufrasne et al., 2014). Meta-analysis of
Akanno et al., (2013) reported a comparatively large heritability estimate of 0.2 for PWM, which was based on three studies on pig mortality from the tropics. The large estimate was attributed to the method of half sib correlation used in the base studies. Similarly using the full sib correlation,
Mesa et al., 2006 observed heritability of 0.18 for weaning survival. However, these studies did not consider important random sources of variation such as maternal and common litter effects and method of estimation was linear.
Earlier studies using linear models reported very low heritability values of 0.00 to 0.01 (
Lund et al., 2002;
Grandinson et al., 2005;
van Arendonk et al., 1996;
Knol et al., 2002). These studies included other sources of maternal variation as done in the present study.
Earlier studies on piglet mortality based on the threshold model reported values of heritability ranging from 0.02 to 0.05. The estimates obtained through threshold models were usually higher than those from linear models (
Arango et al., 2006;
Roehe et al., 2010;
Dufrasne et al., 2014). Linear models ignore the categorical nature of binary traits like PWM. PWM is a categorical trait and assumptions for the linear model such as normality and homoscedasticity of error are not completely met. Threshold models have been found to be most suitable for such traits and as observed in earlier studies estimates obtained by threshold model in this study were higher than thoseestimated by linear models. Studies with estimates of heritability for PWM for LWY pigs were not available from India for comparison.